« Exchange rate between Capital & Labor - a wild idea | Main | Tracking the Effective Inflationary Gap with Unemployment »

06/16/2013

Comments

Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.

Dude.. I am not much into reading, but somehow I got to read lots of articles on your blog. Its amazing how interesting it is for me to visit you very often. -

Verify your Comment

Previewing your Comment

This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.

Working...
Your comment could not be posted. Error type:
Your comment has been saved. Comments are moderated and will not appear until approved by the author. Post another comment

The letters and numbers you entered did not match the image. Please try again.

As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.

Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.

Working...

Post a comment

Comments are moderated, and will not appear until the author has approved them.

Link to UT Index Graph:

The UT Index
Data as of 1Q-2014
Effective Demand = $16.013 trillion
Real GDP = $15.824 trillion
UT index = 0.9%
Effective labor share = 74.3%
TFUR = 73.4%
ED Fed rate = 3.2% (would be Fed rate in normal business cycle. Potential GDP is lower than most say.)

Projected Effective Demand limit upon real GDP is $16.100 trillion.

Projected data for 2Q-2014

Capacity utilization = 78.7%
Unemployment = 6.3%

There is no recession for 1stQ-2014. None expected through 3rdQ-2014.

(UT index close to 0.0% would show that real GDP is hitting the effective demand limit. Utilization rates of capital and labor would slow down at that point. And, if UT index begins to rise, the economy is contracting.)
My Photo
Edward Lambert: Independent Researcher on the equation for Effective Demand.
Blog powered by Typepad
Member since 03/2013